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British banks soon could be scrambling for short-term funding once more amid reports that supplies from Threadneedle Street and from Frankfurt may be drying up.
The Bank of England explicitly ruled out extending its Special Liquidity Scheme (SLS), while the European Central Bank is reportedly considering tightening its lending criteria.
The two central banks have been huge suppliers of liquidity to British banks. The SLS is thought to have provided £50 billion or more, while the ECB has lent banks €467 billion (£378 billion) - much of it thought to have gone to UK institutions.
Despite pressure from some British banks for an extension, the SLS will be closed to new applications from the week of October 20, the Bank said. UK banks have been campaigning for an extension to the scheme, under which the Bank provides banks with highly liquid government bonds in return for illiquid AAA-rated mortgage-backed securities.
As recently as Friday, Rod Kent, the chairman of Bradford & Bingley, called the SLS “a good idea” and contrasted its temporary nature with the permanence of the ECB liquidity window.
The ECB declined to comment on reports that it would change its rules soon, accepting only higher-quality collateral from borrower banks in exchange for cash. At present it accepts securities with credit ratings as low as A-. It also accepts private securities - instruments created by the banks and not traded on any public market. Some ECB officials are concerned that it has become a “dumping ground” for inferior mortgage-backed securities, according to The Wall Street Journal. The reform could come as early as Thursday, when the governing council meets and the ECB makes its monthly interest-rate decision.
While money market conditions have improved modestly in the past few months, banks are still hoarding cash. Three-month sterling Libor has been trading at 5.75 per cent, three quarters of a per cent above base rate, indicating continuing stress in the money markets. Before the crunch the margin was 0.1 or 0.2 of a per cent.
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my bank recently lowered rates to savers and they wonder why no one will save with them. when i queried this they said well the bank rate went down, i pointed out that the bank rate has little to do with real life and LIBOR would be a better guide to savers rates.
john locke, la roche, france
This restriction of liquidity should lead to massive deleveraging - that is the only way the banks can remain even vaguely solvent.
However, the Central Banks could not continue to take on bad debt as they have.
A massive stock market crash should ensue, as the other Central Banks will follow suit.
David Martin, Bristol, UK
Base rates are too high. Cut the rate and allow the banks to increase their spread/profit margin. Inflation is not the problem.
B Anderson, Edinburgh, UK
Simple economics; Demand for a product is met by supply at the market price (rate). Increae the price (rate) and the supply will (should!) increase.
KAG, Cersay, France
Invest £1000 for 12 months and what you get in return will not pay for an hours work in an ordinary garage.This is why there is not enough money in the system.People need to be savers.
Make the first £10,000 pounds of an individuals saving Interest Tax Free instead of the pathetic £3000 limit.
Jim Allan, Wigan, Lancs
In 2006, £78bn of RMBS & about £20bn of savings, together, provided mortgages. Foreigner - financed RMBS have dried up, leaving only savings to fund mortgages. Also, £40bn of RMBS has to be repaid in 08, more in 09 & 2010. Savings have to triple & house prices fall.
The gov't's £1bn is peanuts!
N Reed, Truro, UK
Subsidised Central Bank loans can be justified for a transition period in order to compensate for a sudden shock to the system. But now it is time to go back to first economic principles, i.e. the banks have to raise interest rates for savers to market clearing levels.
Heinz Geyer, London,
Rates are too low. Current rates do not compensate for the obvious risks, so no-one lends.
You cannot buck the market - for very long.
It's time for the policy makers to accept that.
Pat, Coromandel, NZ