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The Federation of Small Businesses (FSB) says that there has been a 50% rise in the number of small-company failures – from 40 to 60 a day over the past two months.
But it also points out that this should be seen in context. Even allowing for this rise, the rate of closures falls far short of the 1,000 per week that failed during the recession of the early 1990s, and there are likely to be a number of sectors that fare well in the coming months.
Bright spots are likely to include food-delivery firms, discount and online retailers and garages, which should all do reasonably well, despite the recession. “There will be some winners,” said Stephen Alambritis, spokesman for the FSB.
Whether it is by helping those worst hit by the downturn or capitalising on the shifting buying patterns of consumers, some companies are experiencing surprisingly big upturns.
Companies offering goods and services at the cheaper end of the market are thriving. At the larger end of the spectrum this means the likes of McDonald’s, the fast-food chain that had 7% more customers last month than in October last year, served the equivalent of about 6m extra people. Butlins, the holiday company, said that advance bookings for next year are 9% up on the equivalent period in 2007. Cinemas are also faring well, as people look for escapism and cheaper entertainment. Similarly, online entertainment retailers, such as Play.com, are doing well.
TM Lewin, the shirt retailer, is enjoying a strong autumn with sales and earnings on course to be 20% better this year. “People are smartening up,” said Geoff Quinn, its chief executive. It is not only businesses that are perceived to be offering value that are trading well. One of the more unusual trends to emerge is how people still like to treat themselves to little luxuries.
Kevin Gould, spokesman for the Chocolate Society, which runs an online retailer, said sales were ahead by about 15%. “People buy more luxury chocolate in a recession as an affordable treat.”
Tbe bicycle repairer
Ben Thomson started his bicycle repair business, Cycleworx, last October but it has moved up several gears in the past few months.The credit crunch was in its infancy when the New Zealander started the company with a £200 loan from his girlfriend. Business was strong from day one and after six months he moved to larger premises at a business park in Wandsworth, London. He also diversified away from repairs to building bespoke bicycles and selling accessories. “Business has been improving all the time but in midsummer it really started to take off and hasn’t slowed down,” he said.
The cobbler
In the shoe repair shop that Nicholas Nichola runs in north London, he has to cast his mind back to the dark days of the early 1990s for a time when business was as good as it is today at Premier Shoes. People are deciding to patch up their loafers and pumps rather than splashing out on a new pair. The state of some shoes brought to him is dire. “We are seeing people come in for jobs that they wouldn’t have bothered with before,” he said. As a result, he has seen a 25% to 30% increase in his business this year over last. “The last time it was like this was 1991, but it wasn’t as big as this,” he said.
The venue host
Companies and public sector bodies still need to train staff in a downturn but now they are shunning expensive, overnight trips to country-house hotels in favour of much more modest, city-centre venues.That is the view of Alistair Stewart, managing director of Etc Venues, which has seen a 36% uplift in sales since the start of July compared with the same period last year. Stewart said that his group, which has sites in Birmingham and London, had seen a shift in the type of venues that clients demand. “Deliberately, there’s nothing glamorous or ostentatious about our venues,” he said.
The innovator
Many companies were growing anxious about soaring energy prices long before the downturn started to bite, but the latest pressure has certainly forced them to try to do something about it. This, said Nigel Orchard, founder of Pilot Systems, has been a boon to his company, which supplies equipment to help companies monitor their power usage far more closely, saving them significant sums on energy bills. Pilot Systems has seen turnover rise threefold as a result and the company is hopeful that interest in its products will continue to increase as the recession begins to bite.
The IT expert
The directors of Genesis, a Manchester-based IT firm, have turned the business round since buying it from retailer DSG last year. Its hosting business allows clients to do away with costly server infrastructure. It also sells customer relationship management software, sales of which have soared as struggling companies strive to hang on to clients. Two months ago Genesis increased its earnings forecast to £3.5m on sales of £33.5m. Mark Seemann, one of the directors, said a sharp increase in business in the last three months could see the forecast revised upwards again in the new year.
The pizza man
Takeaway food seems to be one of the few sectors that thrives no matter what the economy is doing. Curries are a national staple, but pizzas are eating into the market in a big way. Adnan Medjedovic, boss of Firezza, an eight-strong chain selling gourmet pizzas around London, said that his sales are up about five per cent year on year, and he is pushing ahead with plans to expand. A ninth pizza parlour is expected to open soon. The credit crunch suits takeaway operators like Firezza, said Medjedovic. “People realise that pizza at home is still cheaper than going out to a restaurant.”
The engineers
Since Kevin Jones and Ian Quest founded their engineering firm Newton Consulting in 2001, it has proved a hit with clients, including Rolls-Royce, BA, Nissan, Xerox, Cadbury and the NHS. “The pipeline is the strongest it’s ever been,” said Jones.They help manufacturers to increase productivity by improving processes. Newton expects to turn over £6m this year – a 50% annual increase – and is to double its workforce to 60. “In good times the companies called us because they wanted to increase productivity,” said Quest, “but now they want to make their processes more cost-efficient.”
The pawnbroker
Only 18 months ago, Graeme Mulheron became a franchisee of Cash Generator, which buys and sells secondhand goods, in addition to providing cheque cashing and pawnbroking services. “It has proved particularly fruitful during this year’s credit crunch, with customers looking both for discounts on the high street and instant cash,” he said. Mulheron has stores in Luton and Stevenage, north of London, and a third is to follow soon. “In the last six weeks alone at the Luton store, we have witnessed a fantastic increase in retail sales of 28%,” Mulheron added with satisfaction.
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I heard on a radio station the other day, about a local knitting shop whose sales have increased as people are buying needles, wool etc., to repairs clothes rather than buy new. Indeed some business's are seeing increase as people turn to cheaper ways of doing things.
Lee, Maldon, Essex